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Full Dangote Refinery Capacity Could Drive Naira Below ₦1,000/$ — Otedola

ogelenews by ogelenews
February 12, 2026
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Full Dangote Refinery Capacity Could Drive Naira Below ₦1,000/$ — Otedola
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  • Dangote refinery naira below ₦1,000

Billionaire businessman Femi Otedola has said Nigeria’s currency could appreciate significantly if the Dangote Petroleum Refinery operates at full production capacity, expressing optimism that the naira could strengthen to below ₦1,000 per dollar.

Otedola made the remark in a public statement congratulating industrialist Aliko Dangote on the refinery’s operational milestone. He described the refinery’s progress as a transformative development capable of reshaping Nigeria’s energy sector and stabilising the country’s volatile foreign exchange market, Dangote refinery naira below ₦1,000.

His statement has sparked renewed debate among economists and policymakers as full Dangote refinery capacity could drive naira below ₦1,000, a level that would mark one of the strongest exchange rates in recent years.

According to Otedola, the refinery’s ability to process up to 650,000 barrels of crude oil daily could significantly reduce Nigeria’s dependence on imported fuel, which has historically placed immense pressure on the country’s foreign exchange reserves. 

Nigeria has long relied on fuel imports despite being Africa’s largest oil producer, leading to billions of dollars in annual foreign exchange outflows. Experts say domestic refining at full capacity could reverse this trend and conserve foreign exchange.

Otedola emphasised that full Dangote refinery capacity could drive naira below ₦1,000 by reducing the demand for foreign currency needed to import refined petroleum products, Dangote refinery naira below ₦1,000.

“With domestic refining now firmly underway after decades of reliance on imports, pressure on the foreign exchange market should ease significantly,” he said, adding that he remained optimistic about the naira’s prospects. 

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The Dangote refinery, located in Lagos, is the largest single-train refinery in the world, with a refining capacity of about 650,000 barrels per day and the potential to meet Nigeria’s entire domestic fuel demand while also exporting surplus products. 

Industry experts say the refinery is capable of producing up to 75 million litres of petrol daily, exceeding Nigeria’s estimated daily consumption and eliminating the need for fuel imports, Dangote refinery naira below ₦1,000.

Economists note that such output levels could dramatically reduce Nigeria’s dependence on foreign exchange for fuel imports, strengthening the naira over time.

The refinery has already demonstrated economic impact by reducing fuel import costs and saving Nigeria billions in foreign exchange annually. 

This supports Otedola’s argument that full Dangote refinery capacity could drive naira below ₦1,000 by addressing one of the country’s largest sources of foreign exchange demand, Dangote refinery naira below ₦1,000.

Nigeria’s foreign exchange challenges have long been linked to fuel imports, which consume a significant portion of the country’s dollar earnings.

By replacing imports with domestic refining, the refinery could help stabilise Nigeria’s balance of payments and reduce currency volatility.

Otedola also pointed to ongoing expansion plans that could further boost refining capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day, potentially making it the largest refinery in the world. 

Such expansion could enhance Nigeria’s ability to export refined petroleum products, generating additional foreign exchange inflows.

Analysts say this could reinforce the argument that full Dangote refinery capacity could drive naira below ₦1,000 by increasing foreign exchange supply while reducing demand, Dangote refinery naira below ₦1,000.

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The refinery’s broader economic impact extends beyond foreign exchange. It is expected to create thousands of jobs, stimulate industrial growth and strengthen Nigeria’s energy security.

https://ogelenews.ng/dangote-refinery-naira-below-₦1000

Experts say the refinery could also help stabilise fuel prices by increasing supply and reducing reliance on imports.

The refinery’s production capabilities are already reshaping regional fuel markets, reducing West Africa’s dependence on European fuel imports. 

This strengthens Nigeria’s position as a regional energy hub and reinforces its economic influence, Dangote refinery naira below ₦1,000.

Despite these positive projections, some economists caution that multiple factors influence exchange rates, including inflation, monetary policy, oil prices and global economic conditions.

While domestic refining can strengthen the naira, it is not the only determinant of exchange rate stability.

Nevertheless, the refinery represents a major structural shift in Nigeria’s economy, Dangote refinery naira below ₦1,000.

By reducing fuel imports and conserving foreign exchange, it addresses one of the country’s most persistent economic challenges.

Otedola’s optimism reflects growing confidence among industry leaders that Nigeria’s energy reforms could yield significant economic benefits.

The refinery’s success is widely seen as a milestone in Nigeria’s industrial development.

As full Dangote refinery capacity could drive naira below ₦1,000, policymakers are expected to focus on maximising its economic potential.

Experts say sustained production, supportive policies and continued economic reforms will be essential to achieving long-term currency stability.

For now, the refinery stands as one of Nigeria’s most important economic assets.

Its full operational capacity could reshape the country’s economic landscape and strengthen its currency.

Whether the naira falls below ₦1,000 per dollar remains to be seen, but the refinery’s impact is already reshaping expectations.

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https://punchng.com/full-dangote-refinery-capacity-could-drive-naira-below-%E2%82%A61000-otedola

Dangote refinery naira below ₦1,000

Dangote refinery naira below ₦1,000.

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Tags: Dangote refinery Femi Otedola Naira exchange rate Nigeria economy Foreign exchange Oil and gas Economic reforms Energy sector
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